Tropical Storm the storm Grows Stronger While Moves Toward the Island Nation
Cyclone the storm is forecast to strengthen into a uncommon highest-level storm as it shifts toward the Caribbean island, causing deadly sudden floods and rock falls.
The hurricane, which recorded wind speeds of up to 120 miles per hour as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is currently turning northwest in the Caribbean region and is anticipated to hit the coast by midweek, based on data from weather experts.
Alerts of electricity outages and disruption to utilities have been announced as this storm produces up to 30 inches of rain and storm surges as high as 4m above typical tides. "Take cover without delay," residents have been advised.
The cyclone is the 13th named hurricane in the ongoing Atlantic hurricane season, which typically ends in the eleventh month.
Highest-Level Hurricane Threat
A Category 5 cyclone is the most powerful category, with winds of at least 157mph.
Although Melissa is expected to diminish in strength to a fourth-level hurricane before arriving at the island, authorities said there was "very little practical difference in the general consequences" upon making contact with land, and that the hurricane will be "just as powerful" when it strikes the nation.
Urgent Readiness Measures
With storm-force winds and rain predicted to begin long before it passes over central Jamaica - including potentially the city of Kingston - advisories state that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".
"An extended timeframe of harmful winds and heavy rainfall are underway and will cause devastating and dangerous rapid water accumulation and numerous landslides," advised weather authorities.
The nation's leader the statesman stated: "I understand that there are numerous residents who are worried, who are very concerned, and rightfully so: worry is natural.
"However the optimal approach to manage worry and any apprehension and anxiety is to remain prepared."
Locals are being told to secure their homes with protective bags and wooden boards, and to gather essentials.
Regional Impact
Alerts are also in effect for areas in Haiti such as the primary urban center, the adjacent nation and Cuba's eastern region, where this storm is projected to bring comparable impacts by the middle of next week.
Landslides currently triggered by the cyclone have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to the nation's Civil Protection agency.
Expected Trajectory
This weather system is projected to move across Cuba by Wednesday before moving through the Antillas Mayores and out into the open ocean.
By the moment it reaches the Caribbean nation, it is predicted to have diminished to a Category 3 storm.
Environmental Context
While it is hard to connect individual weather events to environmental shifts, scientists say it is making weather phenomena increasingly frequent and more extreme.
Higher ocean heat create greater water vapor in the atmosphere, aiding in the formation of hurricanes.
Before the beginning of this year's Atlantic storm period, weather organizations forecast higher-than-average occurrence, referencing warmer seas and potential more intense weather patterns around West Africa - where Atlantic storms often form.